The unusual rally in the U.S. dollar after presidential elections implies going long on the sixth day after the election and exiting three months later. But two factors suggest caution: the dollar’s rise is based on only seven instances and the index hasn’t rallied following close elections. The good news is that over the past 31 years, the dollar has climbed modestly after election day, so buying the dollar in earlyNovember and holding it through the end of the month may be profitable, depending on current market conditions.
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