New rule changes proposed by the National Futures Association (NFA) could have a significant effect on several brokerages that trade foreign exchange. The NFA wants to raise capital requirements for all registered Forex Dealer Members (FDM) to $5 million, plus it wants improved accounting standards. The NFA is hoping the increased standards will prevent the ongoing problem of forex brokerages going bankrupt and/or committing fraud.

The proposal could potentially wipe out 90 percent of existing forex brokerages, although it’s likely major consolidation would occur if the rule passes. Forex brokerage FXCM has been the most vocal supporter of the rule, although they have received support from some other big firms.

Naturally, there is opposition from the less-capitalized firms. In a comment letter to the NFA, Knight Capital Group, which owns Hotspot FX, agreed that greater oversight is needed but doesn’t think a “one-size-fits-all” solution will work.

“Certain FDMs, like Hotspot, do not operate their business like a traditional dealer. They automatically offset (real-time) all client trades with bank market makers or client subscribers.

As such, Hotspot effectively operates on a ‘riskless principal’ basis on behalf of its clients, thereby reducing dramatically any associated risk with that transaction and its clients’ funds,” Knight said in the letter.

“Thus, since Hotspot and other FDMs similarly situated do not directly offset client trades, they are not subject to the same market volatility and risk as are FDMs that take the other side of client trades and put their client accounts (deposits) at risk.”

Since 2000, the NFA has authorized Forex Dealing licenses to more than 50 firms. However, many of these firms went out of business because they were undercapitalized, and fraud continues to be a problem in the forex brokerage arena.

As of July 2007, there were 43 licensed FDMs operating. According to the NFA, 30 have adjusted net capital of less than $5 million, and only four of those 30 have more than $3 million. The average adjusted net capital of those 30 firms is less than $1.5 million.

The NFA estimates the new rules, combined with existing rules, will force firms to have at least $10 million in adjusted net capital to remain in business.
According to data obtained from the CFTC, the new rules would leave only six forex brokerages: FXCM, GFT Forex, Oanda, FXSolutions, Gain Capital, and CMS.

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